Thank you this Memorial Day...
Thank you to all the brave men and women who answered the call and paid the ultimate sacrifice and to those with an empty seat at the table because of it.
Improving Education -- Ranking Arkansas High Schools by Performance vs. Expected Performance
I decided to kick off this summer by developing a model to rank Arkansas high schools, not just based on test scores, but based on how schools scored against how they could be EXPECTED to score. I used a regression model that takes demographic and enrollment data that is beyond the ability of the school to control. The individual schools' data is fed to the model to create predicted ACT Composite scores. The schools' predicted score is subtracted from the actual 2021-2022 average ACT Composite score, resulting in a "residual." Residuals that are greater than zero indicate a school outperformed the model's expectation. Schools with a residual less than zero underperformed against the expectation. Schools were then ranked by residual in descending order. The highest ranked school had the highest residual. Some schools were removed from the ranking as outliers or special cases with attributes that made them so different from typical high s...
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